Pakistan

United Nations Development Programme

Pakistan

Goal 4: Reduce child mortality

There are six indicators relating to goal 4. First indicator is the decline in under five mortality from 140 in 1990-91 to 52 by 2015. Over the 1990-91 to 2004-05 the child mortality has declined to 100, a decline of 40 percentage points. MTDF target is to reduce child mortality rate to 77 in 5 years and then a further reduction of 25 percentage points if the target for 2015 is to be met. Special efforts would be required to meet the target. Second, infant mortality rate of 102 in 1990-91 is to be reduced to 40 by 2015. Over the last 14 years the mortality has declined by 29 percentage point and the MTDF has a target of 65. There seems very little possibility of meeting the MDG. Third, proportion of fully immunized children of 12-23 month should exceed 90 percent by 2015. Since in 1990-91 the proportion was 75 percent the target looked within reach but by 2004-05 the proportion barely increased to 77. Why the progress has been so slow needs to be examined? Fourth, proportion of children immunized against measles in the age bracket of less than 1 year has to increase to more than 90 percent. There has been slippage in this target as well; proportion declined form 80 to 78 and the MTDF target is 90. There is a need to examine as to why there has been slow progress. Fifth indicator relates to the children suffering from diarrhea and the proportion fell from 26 in 1990-91 to 16 in 2004-05. Since the proportion has already declined form 26 to 16 percent the target is likely to be achieved. Sixth, Lady Health workers coverage is to be universal by 2015. In 2000-01 the coverage was 33.6 and it had reached to 80 percent by 2004-05. The target seems to be easily achievable.

Target-5: Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality rate

Indicators

Definitions

1990-91

2000-01

2004-05

PRSP Target
2005-068

MTDF Target 2009-10

MDG Target 2015

Under-five mortality rate

No. of deaths of children under five years of age  per thousand live births

1402

1053

100

80

77

52

Infant mortality rate

No. of deaths of children under 1 year of age per thousand live births

1021

774

73

6310

65

40

Proportion of fully immunised children 12-23 months (%)

Proportion of children of 12 to 23 months of age who are fully vaccinated against EPI target diseases

751

535

77
(M:78
F:77)7

82

90

>90

Proportion of under 1 year children immunised against measles (%)

Proportion
of children 12 months of age and received measles vaccine

801

575

787

801

90

>90

Proportion of children under five who suffered from diarrhoea in the last 30 days and received ORT (%)

Proportion of children under 5 years suffering from diarrhoea in past 30 days

265

125

167

n/ a9

16

<10

Lady Health Workers’ coverage of target population (%)

Households covered by Lady Health Workers for their health care services

n/a6

33.6

80

83

90

100


Notes and Sources:

  1. Planning Commission
  2. Ministry of Health
  3. Pakistan Reproductive Health and Family Planning Survey 2000-2001
  4. Pakistan Demographic Survey 2001
  5. Pakistan Integrated Household Survey 2000-01
  6. The LHW Programme started in 1994 with 30,000 LHWs
  7. CWIQ 2005
  8. All PRSP targets are taken from Accelerating Economic Growth and Reducing Poverty. The Road Ahead. Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper, Goverment of Pakistan, December 2003.
  9. Based on the definition, “Proportion of children under 5 years who passed more than 3 watery stools per day and received ORS (treated with oral dehydration salt)”, used in MDGR 2004, the PRSP target for 2005-06 was 40%
  10. The lower number is an estimate by the PRSP secretariat. MTDF estimate if 65 in 2009-10 is based on the 2004-05 estimate of Planning Commission/Ministry of Health